Nvidia Stock Set to Surge Ahead of Earnings Report
Nvidia stock set to surge ahead of earnings report as strong AI chip demand offsets China export restrictions and boosts growth outlook.
May 25 2025
Nvidia is primed for a major jump, with forecasts predicting a 21% surge as the company prepares to announce its quarterly earnings. Nvidia Q1 earnings are expected to beat consensus estimates, highlighting the chipmakers dominance in the advanced AI semiconductor market. However, investors remain cautious due to ongoing U.S. export restrictions on selling Nvidia AI chips to China, which could affect future growth.
According to Bank of America, Nvidia first-quarter revenue is projected to reach $43 billion, slightly surpassing analyst expectations. Despite this strong revenue outlook, gross margins are expected to fall sharply to about 58%, driven by a $5.5 billion inventory write-down linked to the export ban on H20 AI chips to China. Earnings per share are forecasted at $0.74, below the $0.88 consensus.
Looking ahead, Nvidia Q2 guidance may disappoint. While the market anticipates $46 billion in revenue, Bank of America estimates the company could forecast just $41 billion due to continued export restrictions on AI chips to China. This implies a 16% revenue decline from consensus and earnings per share around $0.85. Annual earnings projections are also trimmed by roughly 10%.
Despite these challenges, Bank of America remains bullish on Nvidia stock, maintaining a “buy” rating with a target price of $160. The investment bank cites Nvidia’s strong growth potential outside China, particularly with the upcoming launch of the Blackwell AI chip series, and an attractive forward price-to-earnings ratio in the mid-20s.
Nvidia is also making strategic moves that reinforce its leadership in AI infrastructure. Oracle recently committed $40 billion to purchase Nvidia chips for a cutting-edge AI data center for OpenAI in Texas, positioning Nvidia as the backbone of next-generation AI computing. Additionally, Nvidia’s expanding partnerships in Saudi Arabia and other markets, aided by eased U.S. export regulations, are helping to offset China-related headwinds.
While risks such as increasing competition in AI cloud services and regulatory reviews remain, Nvidia strong earnings potential, strategic global partnerships, and leading technology roadmap make it a top stock to watch in the semiconductor and AI chip sectors.
In conclusion, Nvidia is set to surge ahead of its earnings release as the company navigates export restrictions while capitalizing on explosive AI demand worldwide. Investors seeking exposure to the AI revolution should watch Nvidia closely, weighing near-term export challenges against its compelling long-term growth prospects.
NVDA Stock Analysis
Total Score

Strengths
Earnings are forecast to grow
Trading below its fair value
Upgraded on attractively valued
Investors confidence is positive
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Please note that the article should not be considered as investment advice or marketing, and it does not take into account the personal data and requirements of any individual. It is not a substitute for the reader's own judgment, and it should not be considered as advice or recommendation for buying or selling any securities or financial products.